SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Salmrohr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
AAA
3 - 1
ERK
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 1
FCR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
3 - 1
ERK
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
ERK
0 - 6
PAD
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
KAI
1 - 3
ERK
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Salmrohr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SAL
0 - 2
VER
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
BAY
4 - 1
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
SAL
1 - 3
HOM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
AAA
2 - 0
SAL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
SAL
2 - 0
FCR
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |