SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Salmrohr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
ERK
1 - 2
FCR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
RWA
4 - 0
ERK
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
ERK
1 - 2
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
SPO
4 - 1
ERK
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
ERK
1 - 1
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Salmrohr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 1
RWA
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
PAD
6 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
14%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
SAL
0 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1997 |
AAA
2 - 0
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 4
HOM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |