SpVgg Erkenschwick vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis

SpVgg Erkenschwick 1. FC Saarbrücken
45 ELO 58
13% Tilt -2.8%
4844º General ELO ranking 342º
239º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
32.2%
SpVgg Erkenschwick
25.6%
Draw
42.2%
1. FC Saarbrücken

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SpVgg Erkenschwick
-25%
+1%
1. FC Saarbrücken

ELO progression

SpVgg Erkenschwick
1. FC Saarbrücken
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SpVgg Erkenschwick
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 1997
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
1 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
67%
21%
13%
45 60 15 0
13 Dec. 1996
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
2 - 0
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
66%
21%
13%
46 60 14 -1
08 Dec. 1996
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
5 - 1
Hauenstein
HAU
56%
23%
21%
44 46 2 +2
17 Nov. 1996
VER
Verl
4 - 0
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
69%
19%
12%
45 55 10 -1
10 Nov. 1996
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
0 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
35%
26%
39%
46 55 9 -1

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 1997
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 2
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
34%
26%
41%
57 66 9 0
08 Dec. 1996
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
40%
26%
35%
58 52 6 -1
01 Dec. 1996
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
68%
19%
13%
58 50 8 0
17 Nov. 1996
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 0
Germania Teveren
GET
76%
15%
9%
57 44 13 +1
09 Nov. 1996
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
1 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
39%
26%
35%
57 52 5 0