SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
HAM
2 - 0
ERK
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
WHE
1 - 0
ERK
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ERK
1 - 1
ABI
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LIP
0 - 2
ERK
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ERK
2 - 1
S04
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
RWA
1 - 1
PRE
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PRE
0 - 1
HAM
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
PRE
2 - 1
DSC
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
PRE
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PRE
1 - 1
BOC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |