SpVgg Erkenschwick vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ERK
1 - 1
HAM
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 2
ERK
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ERK
0 - 3
WHE
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ABI
6 - 0
ERK
59%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ERK
2 - 0
LIP
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
MSV
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MSV
4 - 2
GEW
25%
24%
50%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
MSV
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MSV
1 - 2
ABI
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |