SpVgg Erkenschwick vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1999 |
SAL
2 - 0
ERK
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 2
AAA
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 1
ERK
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ERK
1 - 5
SPO
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 3
PRE
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
HOM
0 - 6
PRE
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1999 |
ELV
0 - 0
HOM
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 1
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
BAY
1 - 1
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
HOM
2 - 0
SAL
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |