SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+167%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ERK
3 - 4
ASC
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HAS
2 - 0
ERK
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ERK
1 - 1
HUL
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ERH
0 - 4
ERK
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
ERK
2 - 5
BVB
7%
16%
78%
|
34 | 91 | 57 | +1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUT
2 - 0
HAS
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HUL
3 - 2
GUT
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUT
0 - 2
ERH
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
4 - 1
GUT
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
WER
5 - 1
GUT
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |