SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
ROT
12%
22%
66%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ERK
3 - 0
HUL
31%
26%
44%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WHE
2 - 1
ERK
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ERK
2 - 0
SPE
21%
25%
54%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
2 - 0
ERK
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
HUL
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 0
KÖL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SWE
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
KÖL
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |