SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
DJK
4 - 0
ERK
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ERK
2 - 0
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
BVB
6 - 0
ERK
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
ERK
2 - 3
WAT
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
FCM
1 - 1
ERK
63%
22%
14%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 4
ISC
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
KÖL
2 - 0
DJK
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 1
BVB
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
WAT
4 - 3
KÖL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
KÖL
2 - 0
FCM
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |