SpVgg Erkenschwick vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
EIN
1 - 1
ERK
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
WAT
3 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
ERK
2 - 2
PAD
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
RWA
2 - 0
ERK
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ERK
1 - 1
GET
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 7
WAT
26%
26%
47%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCB
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 4
RWA
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GET
1 - 2
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 1
WUP
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |