SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Dornberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 0
ERK
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ERK
2 - 1
GUT
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WHE
0 - 2
ERK
10%
17%
74%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ERK
4 - 1
HAM
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ZWE
1 - 2
ERK
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dornberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 2
HEV
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RBE
3 - 2
DOR
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 4
ROD
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ENN
3 - 0
DOR
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 2
ABI
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |