SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Dornberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ERK
2 - 1
RBE
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RWA
3 - 2
ERK
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ERK
3 - 1
GIE
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ERK
4 - 0
ABI
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 0
ERK
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dornberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ABI
1 - 1
DOR
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 3
HAM
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
ENN
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 3
GUT
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HEV
2 - 2
DOR
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |