SpVgg Erkenschwick vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
ERK
1 - 2
ARB
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
COH
3 - 0
ERK
50%
22%
28%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
ERK
0 - 3
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
ERK
4 - 2
USO
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
ISC
4 - 0
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1993 |
LEV
4 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1993 |
MON
2 - 1
FCN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
STU
3 - 2
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1993 |
MON
3 - 1
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
SAA
0 - 4
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |