SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 0
ERK
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
WUP
2 - 0
ERK
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ERK
2 - 3
AAA
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 1
ERK
67%
21%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
BSC
0 - 4
GUT
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PRE
5 - 0
BSC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BSC
3 - 2
BNE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
SAA
2 - 0
BSC
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
BSC
0 - 0
SAL
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |