SpVgg Erkenschwick vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
STP
2 - 0
ERK
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
ERK
2 - 2
DJK
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
WAT
1 - 1
ERK
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
ISC
1 - 1
ERK
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 2
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1975 |
HER
4 - 2
RTV
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
RTV
3 - 1
OFC
48%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
BYM
2 - 1
RTV
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
RTV
4 - 2
F95
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
HSV
3 - 2
RTV
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |