SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
66.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
ERK
1 - 0
SVS
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
OSC
5 - 1
ERK
60%
19%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
LEV
2 - 1
ERK
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
KOL
4 - 0
ERK
87%
8%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ERK
3 - 2
PRE
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
HAN
2 - 1
BYM
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
BYM
1 - 2
F95
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
HER
2 - 3
BYM
41%
21%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
EIN
2 - 1
BYM
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
BYM
1 - 0
BVB
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |