SpVgg Erkenschwick vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
ERK
4 - 2
USO
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
ISC
4 - 0
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
VFB
3 - 1
ERK
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
ERK
1 - 1
TEN
48%
27%
24%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
FCB
1 - 0
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEV
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
LEV
3 - 2
DAR
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1981 |
LEV
0 - 3
RTV
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
BYM
6 - 2
LEV
84%
10%
5%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |