SpVgg Erkenschwick vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
STP
2 - 1
ERK
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
ERK
2 - 0
PRE
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 1975 |
ERK
2 - 3
RTV
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
STP
2 - 0
ERK
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
ERK
2 - 2
DJK
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
LEV
0 - 0
KÖL
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
DJK
3 - 1
LEV
76%
14%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
TSG
0 - 6
LEV
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
STU
2 - 0
LEV
68%
18%
15%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
LEV
2 - 0
ENO
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |