SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
WHE
0 - 0
ERK
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
ERK
0 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 0
ERK
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
ERK
1 - 3
STP
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
PRE
2 - 0
ERK
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
RVO
1 - 0
ARB
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
ARB
2 - 2
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 2
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |