SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
HOM
3 - 1
ERK
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ERK
3 - 1
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
PRE
0 - 1
ERK
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ERK
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1997 |
FCR
1 - 1
ERK
50%
27%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1997 |
AAA
3 - 2
RWA
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ELV
2 - 0
AAA
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
AAA
1 - 0
FCB
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ERK
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
AAA
1 - 5
WAT
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |