SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 1
ERK
67%
21%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 2
FCB
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
EIN
3 - 0
ERK
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 1
WAT
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
KAI
1 - 0
ERK
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
AAA
2 - 2
GUT
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
PRE
1 - 1
AAA
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
AAA
1 - 0
BNE
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
SAA
3 - 1
AAA
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
AAA
2 - 2
SAL
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |