SpVgg Erkenschwick vs 1. FC Mülheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
WUP
3 - 0
ERK
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 1
TEN
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
WAB
2 - 0
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 1
OSN
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
ARB
3 - 1
ERK
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 3
BAY
39%
23%
38%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
DJK
1 - 1
FCM
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 2
WAT
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BVB
6 - 0
FCM
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |