Eritrea vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.6%
70.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
17%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 66 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SEN
6 - 2
ERI
82%
15%
4%
|
8 | 71 | 63 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
9%
21%
71%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 0
CMR
8%
18%
73%
|
7 | 80 | 73 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 57 | 49 | -1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
SEN
2 - 0
ZIM
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
ZIM
2 - 1
SEN
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SEN
6 - 2
ERI
82%
15%
4%
|
71 | 8 | 63 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
SEN
1 - 0
BDI
77%
17%
6%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
BFA
2 - 2
SEN
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |