WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Eritrea vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
ERI
70%
19%
10%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 2
ERI
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 5
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
BDI
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 2
ANG
20%
25%
56%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |