Ergué-Gaberic vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
79.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
11º
10º
32
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
ERG
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ERG
2 - 0
STA
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SBR
0 - 2
ERG
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 3
USF
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ERG
1 - 2
PLA
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 3
PLA
75%
14%
10%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CPB
4 - 4
VAN
7%
12%
82%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
LAN
75%
14%
10%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 5
STA
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CON
7 - 0
VAN
76%
16%
7%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | -1 |