Ergué-Gaberic vs Stade Rennais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
11º
10º
46
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STA
5 - 3
ERG
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOC
1 - 1
ERG
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ERG
3 - 1
SBR
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SPM
0 - 0
ERG
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 3
PLA
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SBR
0 - 1
STA
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
PLA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CPB
0 - 1
STA
9%
14%
77%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
LAN
82%
11%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |