Ergué-Gaberic vs Saint-Pierre Milizac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
11º
10º
43
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAT
6 - 2
ERG
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 1
LOC
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
ERG
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 2
VIT
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
ERG
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
PLA
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CPB
4 - 3
SPM
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
VAN
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
SPM
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 2
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |