Ergué-Gaberic vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
74.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
ERG
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ERG
1 - 2
VAN
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 1
ERG
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LAT
5 - 0
ERG
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ERG
2 - 3
USF
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 2
DOL
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 3
PLA
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 0
CHO
10%
18%
72%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAN
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |