Ergué-Gaberic vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
11º
10º
37
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CPB
1 - 1
ERG
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 0
VAN
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
ERG
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ERG
2 - 0
STA
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SBR
0 - 2
ERG
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 2
LAN
54%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 3
SPM
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CPB
1 - 3
LAN
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 1
LAT
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
LAN
75%
14%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |