Ergué-Gaberic vs Saint-Renan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ERG
3 - 0
LAN
21%
20%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CPB
1 - 1
ERG
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 0
VAN
8%
13%
79%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
ERG
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ERG
2 - 0
STA
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Saint-Renan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LOC
5 - 2
ASR
73%
17%
10%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASR
0 - 4
LAT
11%
18%
72%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LIF
2 - 2
ASR
44%
23%
33%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
ASR
0 - 1
NAN
11%
19%
70%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | -1 |