Ergene Velimese Spor vs Turgutluspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
13º
11º
47
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergene Velimese Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ERG
2 - 3
PAZ
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
YAS
1 - 1
ERG
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ERG
3 - 4
EBE
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 0
ERG
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 0
HAC
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BAT
2 - 0
TUR
58%
24%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
PAZ
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
YAS
1 - 1
TUR
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
EBE
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAP
4 - 5
TUR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |