Ergene Velimese Spor vs Sapancaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
13º
11º
23
7º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergene Velimese Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
HAC
2 - 0
ERG
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 0
KBS
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 2
ERG
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 0
KEL
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 1
ERG
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sapancaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 0
BAT
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 1
SAP
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 0
PAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
YAS
1 - 0
SAP
35%
23%
43%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 0
EBE
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |