Erfurt-Nord vs Dresden-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 2
DRE
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 3
HAL
22%
24%
55%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SVG
1 - 3
ERF
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
LOK
2 - 0
ERF
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
SON
1 - 1
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 2
DRE
26%
24%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 0
POS
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ZWI
2 - 1
DRE
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
DRE
3 - 0
DRE
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 0
MAG
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |