Erfurt-Nord vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
ERF
0 - 3
SON
33%
25%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ZWI
5 - 0
ERF
75%
17%
9%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 2
GER
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
DRE
2 - 0
ERF
67%
21%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 0
ERF
71%
20%
10%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 1
SVD
17%
24%
58%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 0
DRE
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CZJ
4 - 1
AUE
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 0
POS
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 2
MEU
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |