Erfurt-Nord vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
POS
1 - 1
ERF
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ERF
2 - 1
ZWI
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DRE
2 - 0
ERF
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ERF
0 - 2
MAG
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
OBE
1 - 2
ERF
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
AUE
1 - 1
GER
47%
25%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
CZJ
4 - 1
AUE
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
POS
0 - 1
AUE
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
AUE
1 - 1
ZWI
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 0
AUE
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |