Erbaaspor vs Buca FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbaaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
YOM
1 - 2
ERB
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
PAZ
1 - 2
ERB
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ERB
0 - 0
BOD
25%
26%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DER
2 - 2
ERB
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ERB
1 - 1
DUZ
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TIR
4 - 1
PAZ
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
BOD
2 - 1
TIR
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 1
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DUZ
0 - 0
TIR
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 2
KIR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |