Erakor Golden Star vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erakor Golden Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ERA
2 - 4
TEF
41%
21%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
MAU
0 - 3
ERA
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ERA
2 - 1
SIA
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ERA
7 - 0
AMI
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
IFI
0 - 4
ERA
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 2
REW
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
REA
1 - 4
MAR
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 3
MAR
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 3
MAR
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |