ER Novillars vs FC Sens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
41.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PON
2 - 0
ERN
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ERN
1 - 1
AUX
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FCG
3 - 1
ERN
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ERN
0 - 1
BFC
25%
23%
53%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FCV
1 - 1
ERN
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 1
DIJ
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 0
SEN
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 2
MOR
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SOC
2 - 2
SEN
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 3
MON
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |