ER Novillars vs Evian Thonon Gaillard II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 1
CLE
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
ERN
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 1
PON
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
THI
1 - 0
ERN
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PON
0 - 0
ERN
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
COU
1 - 2
EVI
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EVI
5 - 1
CHA
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EVI
1 - 1
ECH
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EVI
2 - 0
LPV
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EVI
0 - 0
VEN
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |