ER Novillars vs Cournon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ERN
0 - 4
LPV
36%
24%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 0
ERN
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 1
ERN
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
1 - 0
CHA
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 1
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
COU
1 - 0
VEN
27%
27%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EVI
2 - 1
COU
69%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COU
0 - 1
SAI
29%
26%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
COU
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
COU
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |