ER Novillars vs Chambéry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 1
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 0
ERN
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ERN
0 - 0
VEN
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EVI
4 - 0
ERN
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ERN
0 - 3
SAI
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chambéry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
COU
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
THI
0 - 2
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
ECH
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |