ER Novillars vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 2
EVI
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 1
CLE
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
ERN
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 1
PON
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
THI
1 - 0
ERN
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
BOU
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
THI
0 - 1
BOU
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
BOU
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 1
CSL
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 1
BOU
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |