Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
La Equidad vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
3 - 0
CEN
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 2
CAL
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 3
SFE
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 1
EQU
25%
30%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
UCH
2 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
CSL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
EVE
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 2
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |