Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-1
La Equidad vs Deportivo Santaní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2019 |
EQU
3 - 1
BUC
47%
28%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
EQU
27%
30%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
EQU
2 - 2
AGU
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 0
EQU
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Santaní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
LIB
23%
25%
53%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CCP
3 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 6
OLI
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |