La Equidad vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 2
EQU
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
EQU
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 2
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 2
EQU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
EQU
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ENV
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |