La Equidad vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
EQU
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
COR
2 - 2
EQU
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
EQU
1 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
EQU
0 - 2
AME
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
JUN
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
SFE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |