Copa Colombia Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
La Equidad vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
3 - 1
EQU
52%
27%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 2
AGU
52%
27%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
EQU
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 0
EQU
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
EQU
1 - 1
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 1
LEO
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAL
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
EQU
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
LEO
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 2
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |