Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 4-1
La Equidad vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
CEN
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 1
EQU
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
EQU
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
EQU
2 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 1
AUR
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
AUR
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
AUR
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |