La Equidad vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
EQU
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 1
SFE
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 2
EQU
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
EQU
1 - 2
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 0
EQU
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 2
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
ENV
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 2
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |