La Equidad vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
EQU
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
EQU
0 - 2
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
EQU
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 0
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 3
IND
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CUC
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |